OpenAI launches GPT-5.5, Polymarket contract certainty
OpenAI launched GPT-5.5 in ChatGPT and Codex, and the Polymarket contract for GPT-5.5 by April 30, 2026 now sits at 100% YES. Market reaction The April 30 market reached 100% YES, up from 98% just 24 hours ago. The June…
PI outshines major altcoins as crypto market nears $2.7T
Pi Network’s PI (PI) token recovered over the weekend as several altcoins moved higher. PI rose more than 5% in 24 hours and traded above $0.18. Summary PI token gained over 5% in 24 hours, trading above $0.18 during weekend…
Stablecoin Market Sheds $892M as KelpDAO Breach Triggers DeFi Unwind
Key Takeaways: KelpDAO breach triggered $892M outflows, pushing DeFi TVL down in April 2026. Tether USDT hit $189.78B and 59.19% share, consolidating dominance after exits. Ethena USDe fell -34.39% to $3.82B, signaling ongoing DeFi risk repricing. Stablecoin Market Holds Tight…
Iran accuses US of ceasefire breach amid Middle East tensions
Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf accused the US of violating a ceasefire agreement, citing Israeli actions in Lebanon. The market for the Bank of Japan decreasing interest rates after April 2026 sits at 0.2% YES. The Bank of Japan rate decrease…
Crypto gridlock could benefit China, official warns
A White House-linked official has warned that failure to pass clear crypto rules in the United States could help China gain ground in digital assets. Summary Patrick Witt warned that failing to pass clear US crypto rules could benefit China’s…
Polymarket Study Finds 3.14% Drive Accuracy – Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: Researchers from London Business School and Yale found only 3.14% of Polymarket accounts qualify as skilled, yet generate most price discovery. Skilled Polymarket traders retained their classification 44% of the time out-of-sample, compared to just 10% for skilled…
Iran conflict pressures central banks, traders reassess Bitcoin outlook
Investors are watching for potential bond sell-offs as major central banks confront war-driven inflation pressure. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0.4% YES. Market reaction Inflationary pressure from the Iran conflict is pushing central…
Michael Saylor teases Bitcoin buy, but bulls may get less
Michael Saylor has hinted at another Strategy Bitcoin purchase ahead of the company’s expected Monday update. Summary Saylor hinted at another Bitcoin purchase after Strategy raised holdings to 815,061 BTC last week. Analysts expect a smaller buy because MSTR share…
Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC – Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: CME Fedwatch puts a Fed hold at 99% for the April 29 FOMC meeting, down from a 6.2% hike chance one month ago. Polymarket traders have put $20.9 million into the 2026 rate cuts market, with 40% pricing…
Israeli soldier killed in Lebanon, ceasefire market remains static
An Israeli soldier was killed in Lebanon, but the Polymarket ceasefire contract shows no reaction. The probability of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 sits at 100% YES with zero trading volume or price movement in the last 24 hours….
