Iran rejects US proposal, reduces odds of near-term diplomatic meeting
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting: The market is currently observing decreased odds for an imminent meeting, with recent developments suggesting a hardline stance from Iran. The YES pricing reflects a decline in the likelihood of a…
Tokenized RWAs See Strong Growth in 2025, Outpacing Stablecoins: Report
Within the last 15 months ending March 2026, the market cap of tokenized RWAs more than tripled from $5.42 billion to $19.32 billion. Last year was a significant one for real-world assets (RWAs), as the sector saw intensified competition,…
Pete Hegseth says Bitcoin battles China in secret
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told the House Armed Services Committee on April 30 that the Pentagon is running classified Bitcoin programs on two operational tracks — enabling the technology and countering it — and that those efforts provide the United…
Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions are currently priced at 6.2% YES for a resolution by May 31, 2026. This represents a slight increase from 6% a day ago and 5% a week ago. The escalation in military aggression appears…
BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout
Bitcoin is trading at $78.3k as the first weekend of May opens. It has done something it has not managed since the cycle peak, which is closing above the 100-day MA and breaking out of a long-term descending channel that…
Trump retirement order opens 401k to crypto
President Trump signed an executive order on April 30 directing the Labor Department to allow Trump retirement account access to cryptocurrency, private equity, and other alternative assets inside US 401(k) plans, targeting the roughly $12.5 trillion defined-contribution market that has…
Trump rejects Iran proposal, dims prospects for US-Iran talks
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market currently shows decreased likelihood of a meeting occurring on the specified dates in late April 2026. Market participation reflects uncertainty following Trump’s rejection of Iran’s latest proposal. The “Iranian…
KelpDAO and Drift Lead Devastating $650M Crypto Hack Wave of April
Two mega hacks alone wiped nearly $600 million, dominating April’s $650 million crypto loss. April 2026 turned out to be an unusual month for the crypto market. While overall activity remained steady on the surface against significant geopolitical turmoil,…
BlockchainFX ($BFX) Looks Like the Best Crypto Presale Now
How many people brushed off crypto, watched a coin run wild, and then wished they had moved sooner? That regret hits hard, which is why many eyes are now chasing the best crypto presale to buy now before another big…
JetBlue expands at FLL as Spirit Airlines ceases operations
## Market Snapshot In the “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” market, the outcome is priced at 100.0% YES, up from 74% 24 hours ago and 24% a week ago. The market has seen substantial volume with a face value…
