Adam Forsyth

Ceasefire odds plummet as Iran’s missile launches escalate tensions in Strait of Hormuz

Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz and recent missile launches have dashed hopes for a ceasefire by April 7, with odds plummeting to 1% from 12% last week. The April 7 market is nearly inactive with odds at 1%…

BNB Flips XRP Again, BTC Slips Below $67K: Weekend Watch

While HASH has jumped hard, M and FET have lost the most value in the past 24 hours. The overall market calmness continues, but BTC has still dipped by a grand from yesterday’s peak, sliding below $67,000 minutes ago…

Bitcoin’s price holds, but on-chain data flashes warning

Bitcoin (BTC) stayed near $67,000 on April 4 as two CryptoQuant analysts pointed to a split market structure.  Summary Bitcoin spot volume dropped faster than open interest, showing derivatives still carried more market weight. Exchange reserves fell by 66,300 BTC…

US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions

The U.S. is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 1% YES, down from 2% yesterday and 12% a week ago. Odds for a ceasefire by April 15 are bleak at 6% YES,…

X Platform to Auto-Lock Accounts on First Crypto Mention

Elon Musk’s X is rolling out a security feature that will automatically lock any account that mentions cryptocurrency for the first time — requiring additional verification before posting resumes — a direct response to a wave of account hijacking campaigns…

Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86.5% after F-15E recovery

U.S. forces have recovered a crew member from a downed F-15E inside Iranian territory, confirming ground operations. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 are at 86.5% YES, up from 62% a day ago. The April 30 market…

Boring Weekend, Explosive Month? Here’s What to Expect in April for Bitcoin

The following 36-48 hours are expected to be quiet, but what comes next? A tradition started in early 2026 when the US attacked Venezuela and captured its leader and his wife in the early hours of Saturday morning under…

Why Ethereum, Bitcoin, and Solana ruled weekend crypto chatter

Santiment said traders were watching a small group of digital assets as the market moved into the weekend.  Summary Ethereum and Bitcoin led as traders tracked quantum risks, ETF flows, staking, and price pressure. Solana chatter rose after exploit reports,…

US combat search and rescue team enters Iran, boosting military presence odds to 86%

A U.S. combat search and rescue team has entered Iran to recover a missing F-15E crew member, boosting the odds of U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 to 86% YES, up from 62% just a day ago. The April…

Crypto Hacks Rose 96% in March as Losses Hit $52M

March’s $52 million in losses was bad enough, but April has opened with a single incident that resulted in the theft of $285 million. A report from blockchain security firm Peckshield shows that crypto hacks rose 96% in March…