Adam Forsyth

Iran threatens to target Zionist embassies amid Operation True Promise 4 footage

Iran has released footage of Operation True Promise 4 and threatened to target Zionist embassies if attacked. The probability of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 sits at 14% YES, up from 12% yesterday but down from 20% a…

Bitcoin Calms at $67K, Pi Network’s PI Token Finally Stabilizes: Weekend Watch

HASH has lost the most value over the past 24 hours, while VET has re-entered the top 100 alts after a 9% increase. Bitcoin’s price volatility has disappeared over the past 24 hours, as the asset has remained rangebound…

Circle Faces Heat From ZachXBT Over Inaction

Blockchain investigator ZachXBT has publicly accused Circle of failing to freeze stolen USDC as it moved through the company’s own cross-chain infrastructure during the $285 million Drift Protocol exploit on April 1, 2026 — raising pointed questions about when and…

Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 13.5% amid US-Israeli air campaign

Fighter jets over Tehran and Bushehr caused explosions, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 have risen to 13.5% YES, up from 12% yesterday. These strikes are part of a US-Israeli air campaign…

Is Bitcoin price forming a bear flag at $66,900

Bitcoin is holding just above a broken support level at $66,900 as a potential bear flag forms on the 4H chart and the daily MACD hits one of its most negative readings of the current cycle, raising the risk of…

Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 14% amid military escalation

Fighter jets over Tehran and Bushehr caused explosions, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 have risen to 14% YES, up from 12% yesterday. Operation Epic Fury, the US-Israeli campaign, maintains pressure on…

Will Ethereum price clear $2,163 resistance

Ethereum is pressing against a double-top resistance zone at $2,163 after two consecutive rejections from the upper boundary of its rising parallel channel, while a marginal bullish MACD crossover on the 4H chart raises the question of whether buyers can…

Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%

Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are at 1.1% YES, down from 12% last week. Markets show skepticism about Trump’s diplomatic push. The April 7 market holds…

Will XRP price break from its descending wedge

XRP is compressing into the apex of a descending wedge at $1.3157 after months of lower highs and lower lows, with the 4H MACD signal line just crossing into positive territory for the first time since February — a sign…

US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence

A US combat search-and-rescue mission is active in Iran’s Khuzestan province after an F-15E fighter jet was shot down. The market for “US forces enter Iran by April 30” has surged to 86% YES, up from 62% in the last…