Adam Forsyth

Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23.5% by April 30

President Trump is working to end the conflict with Iran and stop nuclear weapons development. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 30 have fallen to 23.5% YES, down from 40% yesterday. The market shows mixed reactions. Immediate ceasefire…

ZachXBT Accuses Circle of Being ‘Asleep’ as Drift Hack Funds Moved Freely

ZachXBT called Circle “asleep” as stolen USDC flowed from Solana to Ethereum during the multi-hour Drift Protocol exploit window. Blockchain investigator ZachXBT has once again slammed Circle and its CEO, Jeremy Allaire, following alleged inaction during the $280 million…

Riot’s 500 BTC transfer adds pressure to miners’ selling spree

Riot moved about 500 BTC in what analysts say is fresh selling, adding to a wave that’s seen listed miners dump over 15,000 BTC even as treasury firms like Metaplanet keep accumulating. Summary Riot Platforms moved about 500 BTC from…

USS ford prepares to rejoin operations near Iran

The USS Gerald R. Ford is set to resume operations near Iran, increasing military presence in the region. Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 are at 60% YES, up from 55% yesterday. The Ford’s return suggests a…

Why Team Identity Checks Are Becoming the Baseline Before Any New Crypto Investment

The age of anonymous founders in the crypto space is fading fast as investors are no longer impressed by flashy slogans or vague promises of “going to the moon.” Instead, they want to know who’s actually building the project: real…

Fundrise’s VCX fund to tokenize shares on Kraken’s xStocks

Summary Fundrise’s Innovation Fund VCX will be tokenized into a new asset called VCXx in partnership with Kraken’s xStocks platform. VCXx will provide onchain exposure to late-stage private tech companies such as SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Databricks through a single…

Trump’s speech signals ongoing conflict, dims ceasefire chances

Trump’s Iran war speech signaled continued conflict, reducing the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 to just 1.9% YES, down from 8% yesterday and 22% a week ago. Markets reacted sharply to Trump’s commitment to intensify strikes, making a…

What Founders Should Expect from Crypto Venture Funds in 2026

Raising capital is often treated as the finish line. The 2026 reality is that, for crypto teams, it is the starting point. Funding matters, of course, as it gives a project the resources to hire, build, and grow. But in…

Anthony Scaramucci backs Saylor’s 11.5% Bitcoin yield while teasing ‘Mooch 2028’

Anthony Scaramucci is openly backing Michael Saylor’s high‑yield Bitcoin strategy at the same time he jolts markets with a tongue‑in‑cheek X video announcing a 2028 presidential run, sharpening the line between his crypto advocacy and broader economic message. Summary Scaramucci…

Gulf countries push for normal relations with Iran

Gulf states are moving to normalize relations with Iran amid the ongoing 2026 conflict. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are at 8% YES, down from 10% yesterday and 26% a week ago. The market shows interest…