US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7
US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian sites, and Iran threatened a UAE data center. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 market is at 1.8% YES, down from 8% yesterday. This escalation has impacted prediction markets. The US-Iran ceasefire by April…
Will Crypto Markets React to $1.8B Bitcoin Options Expiring Today?
The end of the week is here again, which means another batch of crypto options contracts is expiring as spot markets continue to retreat again. Around 27,600 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, April 3, with a notional…
KuCoin picked for Nigeria’s virtual asset pilot as sole global exchange
Summary The Central Bank of Nigeria has launched a supervisory pilot for virtual asset providers, selecting KuCoin alongside five local fintech and crypto firms. The program focuses on AML, CFT and CPF compliance in line with FATF standards, requiring detailed…
Iran lists Gulf bridge targets after coalition strike, US ceasefire odds plummet
Iran has released a list of Gulf bridge targets following a coalition strike on the B1 Bridge in Karaj. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have plummeted to 2% YES, down from 8% just a day ago….
Three Macro Signals Align for Altcoins: But Is It Alt Season?
The ALT/BTC chart has printed four consecutive green MACD bars for the first time in nearly 6 years, according to popular analyst Ash Crypto. The last time this happened, there was a 60% altcoin outperformance against Bitcoin over the three…
Uniswap brings v2, v3 and v4 to Consensys’ Linea zkEVM
Uniswap has deployed v2, v3 and v4 on Consensys’ Linea zkEVM, bringing its full DEX stack to a low-fee, EVM-equivalent rollup now integrated across the Uniswap app, API and wallet. Summary Uniswap has deployed v2, v3 and v4 of its…
Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23.5% by April 30
President Trump is working to end the conflict with Iran and stop nuclear weapons development. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 30 have fallen to 23.5% YES, down from 40% yesterday. The market shows mixed reactions. Immediate ceasefire…
ZachXBT Accuses Circle of Being ‘Asleep’ as Drift Hack Funds Moved Freely
ZachXBT called Circle “asleep” as stolen USDC flowed from Solana to Ethereum during the multi-hour Drift Protocol exploit window. Blockchain investigator ZachXBT has once again slammed Circle and its CEO, Jeremy Allaire, following alleged inaction during the $280 million…
Riot’s 500 BTC transfer adds pressure to miners’ selling spree
Riot moved about 500 BTC in what analysts say is fresh selling, adding to a wave that’s seen listed miners dump over 15,000 BTC even as treasury firms like Metaplanet keep accumulating. Summary Riot Platforms moved about 500 BTC from…
USS ford prepares to rejoin operations near Iran
The USS Gerald R. Ford is set to resume operations near Iran, increasing military presence in the region. Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 are at 60% YES, up from 55% yesterday. The Ford’s return suggests a…
